Blucifer breaks down each Week 1 game and what their best bet for each game will be.
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[00:00:04] [SPEAKER_01]: We are back.
[00:00:06] [SPEAKER_01]: Week 1, we had to do a two-parter here.
[00:00:09] [SPEAKER_01]: A special two-parter for you here.
[00:00:12] [SPEAKER_01]: We are going to go through every week one game here somewhat quickly and try to find,
[00:00:22] [SPEAKER_01]: let's try to find Ryan at least three good bets for each of us.
[00:00:26] [SPEAKER_01]: Some games we feel good about here.
[00:00:30] [SPEAKER_01]: And let's try to make the people some money.
[00:00:33] [SPEAKER_01]: It's Week 1 of the NFL.
[00:00:35] [SPEAKER_01]: See you Nebraska.
[00:00:37] [SPEAKER_01]: Maybe before we get into the NFL, let's touch on that a little bit.
[00:00:40] [SPEAKER_01]: See you struggled with North Dakota State quite a bit.
[00:00:45] [SPEAKER_01]: Nebraska beat the Unholy.
[00:00:47] [SPEAKER_01]: A lot of the team on the road are at home.
[00:00:49] [SPEAKER_01]: Not near as good as North Dakota State, but they look like they have an offense.
[00:00:54] [SPEAKER_01]: How worried are you for the buffs?
[00:00:55] [SPEAKER_01]: Because it's been really fun to just beat the hell out of the Huskers, especially because
[00:00:59] [SPEAKER_01]: when we were kids growing up in Colorado, Nebraska always beat us.
[00:01:04] [SPEAKER_01]: One of my first vivid sports memories is the time that CU beat the hell out of them with
[00:01:09] [SPEAKER_01]: Chris Brown and Bobby Purify running all over them.
[00:01:13] [SPEAKER_01]: And then somehow Nebraska still got together the national championship game over us.
[00:01:18] [SPEAKER_01]: But that was probably merciful because that Miami team was loaded.
[00:01:21] [SPEAKER_01]: But I still really want to beat Nebraska.
[00:01:26] [SPEAKER_01]: Is there any way that we do that, right?
[00:01:28] [SPEAKER_01]: Based off what you saw Week 1?
[00:01:30] [SPEAKER_01]: Because I know you watched the CU game.
[00:01:32] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, it's the same problem that what they were doing last year.
[00:01:39] [SPEAKER_00]: The offense blend sucks and the defense can't stop the run.
[00:01:43] [SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, I would say I'm worried.
[00:01:45] [SPEAKER_00]: And no, I don't think they're going to beat Nebraska.
[00:01:47] [SPEAKER_00]: Like it didn't look any different.
[00:01:53] [SPEAKER_00]: I went to three games last year.
[00:01:56] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't know.
[00:01:56] [SPEAKER_00]: And they looked exactly the same.
[00:02:01] [SPEAKER_00]: They're going to be fun to watch because Travis Hunter is unbelievable.
[00:02:05] [SPEAKER_00]: And Shadour has some throws where you're like, yeah, you are pretty filthy.
[00:02:11] [SPEAKER_00]: If you had an offensive line that could stand and block in front of you,
[00:02:15] [SPEAKER_00]: I bet you would be awesome.
[00:02:16] [SPEAKER_00]: But I was listening to something that it was like with a college scout.
[00:02:22] [SPEAKER_00]: And they were talking about Shadour and he was like,
[00:02:25] [SPEAKER_00]: and this was after the game that I was listening to this.
[00:02:28] [SPEAKER_00]: And he said he was just like, he just doesn't have any rhythm in the pocket
[00:02:32] [SPEAKER_00]: in terms of like he stays too long and then he gets really panicked back there.
[00:02:36] [SPEAKER_00]: And I'm like, God, that really just exactly describes what I just watched on Saturday.
[00:02:40] [SPEAKER_00]: So it's I don't see them beating teams with real talent,
[00:02:45] [SPEAKER_00]: especially on the road.
[00:02:47] [SPEAKER_00]: Like it's not going to happen.
[00:02:54] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it's pretty bad to me.
[00:02:58] [SPEAKER_01]: I agree that he said and it feels like Shadour is a producer.
[00:03:04] [SPEAKER_01]: Dan, can you look at a course real quick?
[00:03:07] [SPEAKER_01]: But while he does that, I just wanted to echo your statement.
[00:03:11] [SPEAKER_01]: It's like there are some filthy throws he makes,
[00:03:13] [SPEAKER_01]: but it doesn't feel like because obviously our running game is
[00:03:18] [SPEAKER_00]: touched down under the line.
[00:03:20] [SPEAKER_01]: Part of that's like running back down all that.
[00:03:24] [SPEAKER_01]: That's low.
[00:03:27] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I think that's just fine to think
[00:03:32] [SPEAKER_01]: because like you said, the solution would normally be
[00:03:36] [SPEAKER_01]: seven and a half.
[00:03:38] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, to just say, hey, we're going to throw and use short throws
[00:03:44] [SPEAKER_01]: and use those little rhythm throws almost as a running game
[00:03:48] [SPEAKER_01]: and to protect our line.
[00:03:50] [SPEAKER_01]: But it just doesn't feel like Shadour is very good at those.
[00:03:53] [SPEAKER_01]: It feels like he can bomb it and he has incredible arm talent
[00:03:56] [SPEAKER_01]: to wear a lot of those deep crosses that like other college
[00:04:00] [SPEAKER_01]: quarterbacks hang up too much.
[00:04:01] [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, he'll get them there on a rope.
[00:04:03] [SPEAKER_01]: And so we just have insane explosive plays.
[00:04:06] [SPEAKER_01]: But you saw like after our first few drives,
[00:04:10] [SPEAKER_01]: once again, explosive plays, we couldn't sustain a drive
[00:04:13] [SPEAKER_01]: against North Dakota State.
[00:04:16] [SPEAKER_01]: And so I think it's the modern MLB.
[00:04:19] [SPEAKER_00]: I think this is going to be its strikeouts or its home runs.
[00:04:23] [SPEAKER_00]: There's nothing really in between and it's entertaining
[00:04:27] [SPEAKER_00]: to watch, I guess.
[00:04:30] [SPEAKER_00]: But honestly, the prime thing is sort of wearing thin on me.
[00:04:36] [SPEAKER_00]: He's just annoying and I get it.
[00:04:41] [SPEAKER_00]: Like I guess he's
[00:04:44] [SPEAKER_00]: whatever, protecting players and speaking out
[00:04:47] [SPEAKER_00]: and all these things or whatever he wants to say it is.
[00:04:50] [SPEAKER_00]: But at a certain point, like you're just kind of an asshole
[00:04:53] [SPEAKER_00]: who gets paid a bunch of money and isn't getting endorsements
[00:04:58] [SPEAKER_00]: by for all these products and is in all state ads
[00:05:02] [SPEAKER_00]: with fucking Nick Saban and you can't you barely beat the like
[00:05:07] [SPEAKER_00]: after Division One champion, the actual NCAA
[00:05:12] [SPEAKER_00]: champion of college football.
[00:05:13] [SPEAKER_00]: Like I just don't I
[00:05:17] [SPEAKER_00]: not that interested.
[00:05:22] [SPEAKER_01]: I also know
[00:05:24] [SPEAKER_01]: I sorry as well.
[00:05:27] [SPEAKER_01]: I you have to run three times there.
[00:05:30] [SPEAKER_01]: The game is over.
[00:05:32] [SPEAKER_01]: Thirteen year old me playing NCAA with Ryan knows that you can just kneel.
[00:05:38] [SPEAKER_01]: He's there and that that game is over.
[00:05:42] [SPEAKER_01]: Like it doesn't make you don't need to get first round.
[00:05:45] [SPEAKER_01]: You don't need to do stuff like what are we doing?
[00:05:47] [SPEAKER_00]: Like nobody's yeah.
[00:05:49] [SPEAKER_00]: And he's not hiring for talent.
[00:05:51] [SPEAKER_00]: He's hiring Warren Saff because he's Warren Saff, like
[00:05:55] [SPEAKER_00]: which actually seems like a great hire.
[00:05:57] [SPEAKER_00]: It seems like he might actually be doing something.
[00:05:58] [SPEAKER_00]: But I don't think that that's the case for that entire staff.
[00:06:02] [SPEAKER_00]: And you like the NCAA is no longer just like,
[00:06:07] [SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to get some talent and I get to grind like these kids.
[00:06:10] [SPEAKER_00]: You have to be grinding on the recruiting trail
[00:06:13] [SPEAKER_00]: to even identify the kid and then go get him.
[00:06:16] [SPEAKER_00]: Like it's such a full time job now.
[00:06:21] [SPEAKER_00]: Not that it wasn't before, I guess, but it's just different.
[00:06:24] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, no, agreed.
[00:06:28] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah.
[00:06:31] [SPEAKER_01]: All right, I think that's enough of the sadness there.
[00:06:37] [SPEAKER_01]: But we're in agreement here.
[00:06:38] [SPEAKER_01]: Also, if you want to start your weekend a little early.
[00:06:44] [SPEAKER_01]: We'll seven point teaser to get the Huskers down.
[00:06:48] [SPEAKER_01]: And I think there are some tasty legs here.
[00:06:54] [SPEAKER_01]: This year, NFL Slayers,
[00:06:57] [SPEAKER_01]: I think they're going to be great.
[00:06:58] [SPEAKER_01]: So let's get going, Ryan, without any further ado, into this week one.
[00:07:05] [SPEAKER_01]: Starts off Thursday, Baltimore, Kansas City.
[00:07:12] [SPEAKER_01]: We're international.
[00:07:14] [SPEAKER_01]: They're over there in Germany.
[00:07:19] [SPEAKER_01]: Casey is favored by three.
[00:07:24] [SPEAKER_01]: I think both these teams are going to be really good.
[00:07:27] [SPEAKER_01]: I think I'm just going to stay away from this and enjoy week one.
[00:07:32] [SPEAKER_01]: But do you see any big angles here or anything?
[00:07:36] [SPEAKER_01]: To me, this just feels international.
[00:07:37] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't see anything that jumps off the board of me.
[00:07:43] [SPEAKER_00]: The only thing that I will say is I believe that
[00:07:45] [SPEAKER_00]: the Draft Kings boosted Travis Kelsey
[00:07:51] [SPEAKER_00]: and or Travis Kelsey or Derek Henry
[00:07:55] [SPEAKER_00]: to score a touchdown in this to plus 300,
[00:07:59] [SPEAKER_00]: which I think is a solid value.
[00:08:02] [SPEAKER_00]: So or plus 100. Sorry, not 300.
[00:08:05] [SPEAKER_00]: That would be crazy.
[00:08:08] [SPEAKER_00]: But it's a Brazil.
[00:08:13] [SPEAKER_01]: And I'm sorry, this one is not Germany.
[00:08:15] [SPEAKER_01]: They go to Germany later.
[00:08:16] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I think to your point,
[00:08:20] [SPEAKER_00]: I just think these teams are too close to really bet on
[00:08:22] [SPEAKER_00]: without seeing any regular season action.
[00:08:27] [SPEAKER_00]: So I'll set this one out.
[00:08:28] [SPEAKER_00]: It's it's going to be awesome, though.
[00:08:30] [SPEAKER_00]: I yeah, looking forward to it.
[00:08:40] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, it's a stay away.
[00:08:42] [SPEAKER_00]: If I had to if I had to do anything,
[00:08:44] [SPEAKER_00]: I'd probably just play Raven's Moneyline.
[00:08:47] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
[00:08:49] [SPEAKER_01]: But yeah, I don't know.
[00:08:56] [SPEAKER_01]: Andy Reid, come with all offseason.
[00:08:59] [SPEAKER_01]: I'll probably just take the Super Bowl Champs here
[00:09:01] [SPEAKER_01]: with all that energy in the building.
[00:09:03] [SPEAKER_01]: That would be my official pick, but this is not one of my best.
[00:09:07] [SPEAKER_01]: Now we go over to Brazil, a.k.a.
[00:09:09] [SPEAKER_01]: the place where all the Eagles players
[00:09:14] [SPEAKER_01]: appear super pissed that they're going to Brazil.
[00:09:18] [SPEAKER_01]: AJ Brown said he's not going to leave his room.
[00:09:22] [SPEAKER_01]: They're all like, this seems terrible.
[00:09:26] [SPEAKER_01]: It's actually it's such a bummer that the NFL did this
[00:09:31] [SPEAKER_01]: because this should be an insanely fun game.
[00:09:33] [SPEAKER_01]: Like we have Green Bay, Philly.
[00:09:35] [SPEAKER_01]: This should be awesome.
[00:09:36] [SPEAKER_01]: These are two great families in great home field.
[00:09:39] [SPEAKER_01]: Just kind of absolutely sucks that Philly loses a home here.
[00:09:43] [SPEAKER_01]: Philly is favored by three here.
[00:09:45] [SPEAKER_01]: I can't figure out why.
[00:09:47] [SPEAKER_01]: I would all be taking Green Bay Moneyline.
[00:09:51] [SPEAKER_01]: The international stuff is enough for me to not want
[00:09:54] [SPEAKER_01]: to take it as like one of my three best plays.
[00:09:57] [SPEAKER_01]: But if the Lord grants me the strength to stay away
[00:10:01] [SPEAKER_01]: from the opening game betting wise,
[00:10:06] [SPEAKER_01]: which he probably won't to be clear,
[00:10:08] [SPEAKER_01]: I'll find some profit or something.
[00:10:10] [SPEAKER_01]: There's no way he'll grant me the strength
[00:10:13] [SPEAKER_01]: on a Friday to stay away from this.
[00:10:15] [SPEAKER_01]: And I'll be taking the Packers Moneyline.
[00:10:18] [SPEAKER_01]: I think Philly, I think there's some real chemistry stuff
[00:10:21] [SPEAKER_01]: with their coach, all that stuff that's real.
[00:10:24] [SPEAKER_01]: I agree.
[00:10:28] [SPEAKER_00]: Philly, the vibes have been just terrible all season.
[00:10:31] [SPEAKER_00]: So I'm certainly with you there.
[00:10:34] [SPEAKER_00]: I do wonder, I guess,
[00:10:38] [SPEAKER_00]: a little bit about the international thing
[00:10:40] [SPEAKER_00]: and just Jordan's love of it all.
[00:10:46] [SPEAKER_00]: I am in on the Packers officially.
[00:10:49] [SPEAKER_00]: Like I think that they're going to be very good
[00:10:50] [SPEAKER_00]: and I'm sort of out on the Eagles.
[00:10:53] [SPEAKER_00]: So I will be,
[00:10:57] [SPEAKER_00]: I agree with you, I would take the Packers Moneyline,
[00:10:59] [SPEAKER_00]: but I don't think I would do it at plus 120.
[00:11:03] [SPEAKER_00]: This is a live play all over it.
[00:11:05] [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, you know me and my live betting,
[00:11:07] [SPEAKER_00]: but this feels like a game where you're going to get
[00:11:10] [SPEAKER_00]: a good feel for what the rhythm is going to be early on.
[00:11:20] [SPEAKER_01]: Yes. All right.
[00:11:22] [SPEAKER_01]: Now we go to Atlanta.
[00:11:25] [SPEAKER_01]: I've already spoiled my pick in part one of this,
[00:11:27] [SPEAKER_01]: but we have Pittsburgh visiting Atlanta.
[00:11:31] [SPEAKER_01]: I am taking Atlanta.
[00:11:35] [SPEAKER_01]: I think Russell Wilson and this team is truly terrible.
[00:11:39] [SPEAKER_01]: I think their defense is good,
[00:11:40] [SPEAKER_01]: but I think Atlanta can score enough points here.
[00:11:44] [SPEAKER_01]: I think Atlanta is actually going to be pretty good this year.
[00:11:48] [SPEAKER_01]: I think Kirk Cousins gives you enough competence
[00:11:53] [SPEAKER_01]: to just like say, hey, I can't hold on to the ball
[00:11:57] [SPEAKER_01]: versus TJ Watt and get strip sack fumble.
[00:12:00] [SPEAKER_01]: I just can't throw pick sixes and we will win
[00:12:03] [SPEAKER_01]: because Russ will.
[00:12:05] [SPEAKER_01]: And so I think this is Atlanta.
[00:12:08] [SPEAKER_01]: I like this quite a bit.
[00:12:10] [SPEAKER_01]: I totally get the Tomlin and nobody believes in us
[00:12:13] [SPEAKER_01]: and all that energy, but I don't really understand this number.
[00:12:21] [SPEAKER_00]: It's almost so weird.
[00:12:22] [SPEAKER_00]: It feels a little fishy.
[00:12:24] [SPEAKER_00]: Like I don't.
[00:12:26] [SPEAKER_00]: I hate this dealers and I love the Falcons
[00:12:29] [SPEAKER_00]: and why this is only three, I guess, is a little confusing.
[00:12:34] [SPEAKER_00]: But I couldn't agree with you more.
[00:12:37] [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, what jumped off the page to me
[00:12:39] [SPEAKER_00]: is that minus 148 on the money line,
[00:12:42] [SPEAKER_00]: just finding somebody else you like,
[00:12:44] [SPEAKER_00]: throwing that in a little money line parlay.
[00:12:48] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, that's probably the way I would play that.
[00:12:56] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it's also, by the way, it's candidate.
[00:12:59] [SPEAKER_01]: If you want a seven point teaser for the Huskers,
[00:13:04] [SPEAKER_01]: then you can get this up to plus four there.
[00:13:09] [SPEAKER_01]: And I do not think that these dealers.
[00:13:12] [SPEAKER_00]: I hate going through the zero, but yeah, you're not wrong.
[00:13:16] [SPEAKER_01]: So it's a.
[00:13:18] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
[00:13:20] [SPEAKER_01]: I just like getting more than a field goal
[00:13:22] [SPEAKER_01]: that when you're going through this.
[00:13:24] [SPEAKER_01]: I like that.
[00:13:26] [SPEAKER_01]: All right, next we've got an interesting game here.
[00:13:31] [SPEAKER_01]: Jacksonville at Miami.
[00:13:34] [SPEAKER_01]: Jacksonville disappointing finish to the season last year.
[00:13:38] [SPEAKER_01]: Miami pretty much everyone is hurt.
[00:13:42] [SPEAKER_01]: Sweet.
[00:13:44] [SPEAKER_01]: Waddle and Tyreek are still questionable.
[00:13:46] [SPEAKER_01]: It looks like they're going to play, but like bang bang up.
[00:13:50] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it feels not good.
[00:13:54] [SPEAKER_01]: I think I take Jacksonville money line here
[00:13:57] [SPEAKER_01]: if I was going to make a play.
[00:14:00] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think that I trust Doug Peterson enough
[00:14:04] [SPEAKER_01]: who after he wrote a book about himself
[00:14:07] [SPEAKER_01]: being such a risk calling genius hasn't had very much success in the NFL.
[00:14:14] [SPEAKER_01]: So I think I like Mike McDaniel in the off season
[00:14:17] [SPEAKER_01]: and with just a lot of time to prepare for this game
[00:14:21] [SPEAKER_01]: to get something going.
[00:14:23] [SPEAKER_01]: I trust him to create more explosives for Tua and the boys,
[00:14:28] [SPEAKER_01]: but I don't love it.
[00:14:31] [SPEAKER_01]: So it's not one of my top plays,
[00:14:33] [SPEAKER_01]: but I think I would lean Jags money.
[00:14:36] [SPEAKER_00]: I hate everything that you just said,
[00:14:39] [SPEAKER_00]: but I don't necessarily disagree with it.
[00:14:44] [SPEAKER_00]: It seems a little trappy.
[00:14:46] [SPEAKER_00]: The Jags, I've just I have fallen in and out of love with them
[00:14:50] [SPEAKER_00]: three separate times.
[00:14:53] [SPEAKER_00]: Throughout the last couple of years.
[00:14:56] [SPEAKER_00]: And I think it's just hard for me
[00:15:00] [SPEAKER_00]: to have a feel for them early in the season.
[00:15:03] [SPEAKER_00]: I want to believe that Trevor Lawrence is good,
[00:15:05] [SPEAKER_00]: but I kind of have to like he's got to prove that this year.
[00:15:09] [SPEAKER_00]: So to me, it's a stay away on the money line,
[00:15:12] [SPEAKER_00]: but it does contain one of my favorite bets of the weekend.
[00:15:19] [SPEAKER_00]: It's a prop bet.
[00:15:20] [SPEAKER_00]: Uh, Devon HN anytime touchdown score plus 115.
[00:15:27] [SPEAKER_00]: Just lock it in.
[00:15:29] [SPEAKER_00]: That's going to happen,
[00:15:30] [SPEAKER_00]: especially with Hill and Waddle potentially banged up like just
[00:15:34] [SPEAKER_00]: they're going to score touchdowns.
[00:15:36] [SPEAKER_00]: They're going to I guarantee you they're going to score touchdowns.
[00:15:40] [SPEAKER_00]: So I think there's a ton of value on that.
[00:15:46] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I like that as prop.
[00:15:53] [SPEAKER_01]: All right, now we've got
[00:15:56] [SPEAKER_01]: we're really getting into the weeds here.
[00:15:59] [SPEAKER_01]: It's it's tough for a game to not be exciting to me in week one,
[00:16:03] [SPEAKER_01]: but they've done it.
[00:16:05] [SPEAKER_01]: We've got Sam Darnold's
[00:16:07] [SPEAKER_01]: Rustangial Jones out here
[00:16:12] [SPEAKER_01]: in East Rutherford, New Jersey
[00:16:15] [SPEAKER_01]: and Barg Justin Jefferson or Malik neighbors doing something unbelievable.
[00:16:21] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think I will pay attention to a single moment of this game.
[00:16:26] [SPEAKER_01]: I think I would take Minnesota here just because of coaching.
[00:16:32] [SPEAKER_01]: I think that they have a really good coach and I think that
[00:16:37] [SPEAKER_01]: he can work with Darnold to make him
[00:16:43] [SPEAKER_01]: play better than what Daniel Jones is capable of.
[00:16:47] [SPEAKER_01]: So yeah, I think that would be what I'd like.
[00:16:50] [SPEAKER_01]: But I good Lord, why don't want to watch it?
[00:16:54] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know.
[00:16:54] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think I'll be.
[00:16:55] [SPEAKER_01]: But I do have the Giants winning money here.
[00:16:58] [SPEAKER_00]: I I kind of they're
[00:17:03] [SPEAKER_00]: they're an intriguing team.
[00:17:05] [SPEAKER_00]: And I think that I'm at home
[00:17:08] [SPEAKER_00]: early in the season.
[00:17:10] [SPEAKER_00]: I'll just take them.
[00:17:12] [SPEAKER_00]: I think they're it'll get New York excited for half a minute
[00:17:17] [SPEAKER_00]: and then have their hopes dashed.
[00:17:20] [SPEAKER_00]: So.
[00:17:23] [SPEAKER_01]: Beautiful.
[00:17:26] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, not great, Bob.
[00:17:29] [SPEAKER_01]: OK, now we this game
[00:17:33] [SPEAKER_01]: would normally be unbelievably unexciting,
[00:17:37] [SPEAKER_01]: but we have Caleb Williams, so it's not terrible.
[00:17:41] [SPEAKER_01]: The Chicago Bears are hosting the Tennessee Titans.
[00:17:47] [SPEAKER_01]: The Bears are minus like four and a half.
[00:17:52] [SPEAKER_00]: Explain to me how what was that game really?
[00:17:57] [SPEAKER_01]: Not.
[00:17:58] [SPEAKER_01]: Who?
[00:17:59] [SPEAKER_01]: Who?
[00:18:00] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, explain to me how bad's that?
[00:18:03] [SPEAKER_00]: And the like what is going on?
[00:18:05] [SPEAKER_00]: How is this a point and a half more?
[00:18:07] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't understand it all.
[00:18:14] [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, obviously, Vegas has to make in the fact
[00:18:17] [SPEAKER_01]: that the NFL allows the Steelers to cheat all the time.
[00:18:22] [SPEAKER_01]: So that is an advantage.
[00:18:24] [SPEAKER_01]: And maybe that is worth point and a half.
[00:18:26] [SPEAKER_01]: But yeah, this feels too high to me.
[00:18:30] [SPEAKER_01]: I'm not betting even a cent.
[00:18:33] [SPEAKER_01]: The only thing I would say to people is
[00:18:37] [SPEAKER_01]: if you have four and a half, if you want to do six point
[00:18:40] [SPEAKER_01]: teasers and you want to get this up over 10 and a half,
[00:18:43] [SPEAKER_01]: I think this game is going to be hideously ugly.
[00:18:46] [SPEAKER_00]: Although if they were going to blow anybody out,
[00:18:48] [SPEAKER_00]: Titans would be a prime candidate at home week one.
[00:18:53] [SPEAKER_00]: So I don't know.
[00:18:55] [SPEAKER_00]: I would just I don't think I touch this with the 10 foot pole.
[00:18:58] [SPEAKER_00]: This is as fishy as that Steelers line.
[00:19:01] [SPEAKER_01]: So yeah, yeah.
[00:19:09] [SPEAKER_01]: Let me tell you the only thing to me is
[00:19:12] [SPEAKER_01]: hey, that minus 18 DVOA for rookie quarterbacks.
[00:19:17] [SPEAKER_01]: It didn't say anything about except for number one overall picks.
[00:19:21] [SPEAKER_01]: It's this time with the new college.
[00:19:24] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think we're going to see a Caleb.
[00:19:26] [SPEAKER_00]: There's no talent on that team.
[00:19:29] [SPEAKER_01]: So listen, yeah, here it is.
[00:19:34] [SPEAKER_01]: This is a hey, man, did Caleb do something cool?
[00:19:37] [SPEAKER_01]: Awesome.
[00:19:39] [SPEAKER_01]: Other than that, worth my name.
[00:19:42] [SPEAKER_01]: Then we've got Carolina, New Orleans.
[00:19:47] [SPEAKER_00]: Another toilet bowl early in the air.
[00:19:49] [SPEAKER_00]: It is also another team between two teams
[00:19:52] [SPEAKER_00]: that I think are going to be really bad.
[00:19:55] [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, that's just the NFC South.
[00:19:58] [SPEAKER_01]: But it's home for New Orleans.
[00:20:05] [SPEAKER_01]: But like you said, it feels like this town is a very passionate
[00:20:08] [SPEAKER_01]: and they kind of hate their quarterback and their coach.
[00:20:13] [SPEAKER_01]: So like, is this one of those where like,
[00:20:15] [SPEAKER_01]: if it's three, three, do all of a sudden the Saints are doing booed?
[00:20:21] [SPEAKER_01]: A lot of being at home kind of feels like a disadvantage.
[00:20:26] [SPEAKER_01]: I'm not sure. Right?
[00:20:30] [SPEAKER_01]: So I think this is a Panthers money line or nothing
[00:20:35] [SPEAKER_01]: if you're going to do it.
[00:20:37] [SPEAKER_01]: I can't get there with Bryce Young, so probably not.
[00:20:41] [SPEAKER_01]: But I love this one.
[00:20:44] [SPEAKER_01]: We're back whisper to get to him.
[00:20:46] [SPEAKER_01]: It's the new guy.
[00:20:48] [SPEAKER_00]: I think this would be one of my three.
[00:20:51] [SPEAKER_01]: Love it.
[00:20:55] [SPEAKER_00]: I like the.
[00:20:58] [SPEAKER_00]: The Panthers, I think, are underrated potentially.
[00:21:03] [SPEAKER_00]: That doesn't mean I think they're going to win a lot of games.
[00:21:07] [SPEAKER_00]: But I just think the Saints are bad.
[00:21:10] [SPEAKER_00]: So I like the money line.
[00:21:12] [SPEAKER_00]: I like I think there's a lot of value in that the four and a half
[00:21:16] [SPEAKER_00]: is also there's a ton of value.
[00:21:17] [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, especially as a teaser candidate as well.
[00:21:28] [SPEAKER_01]: All right, then.
[00:21:29] [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, teaser candidate, you're not on there.
[00:21:34] [SPEAKER_01]: I think I think it might even be a better leg than the one
[00:21:37] [SPEAKER_01]: I mentioned earlier with 10 C Chicago.
[00:21:41] [SPEAKER_01]: Because Chicago has some air.
[00:21:42] [SPEAKER_00]: I just don't know how the times are going to score.
[00:21:46] [SPEAKER_01]: Air it out.
[00:21:48] [SPEAKER_01]: When's the last time we threw Saad Derrick Carr?
[00:21:52] [SPEAKER_01]: Throw a pass for longer than five yards.
[00:21:54] [SPEAKER_01]: Like, you know, like, it's a long hour.
[00:21:57] [SPEAKER_01]: I can't make explosives play tough.
[00:22:02] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it's not good.
[00:22:05] [SPEAKER_01]: Remember the last offseason
[00:22:06] [SPEAKER_01]: whenever I was like, I'm always going to be awesome again this year.
[00:22:09] [SPEAKER_01]: He figured out that one of his quads was bigger than the other.
[00:22:12] [SPEAKER_01]: We were all sitting like, I got the quad thing figured out.
[00:22:16] [SPEAKER_01]: Didn't work out there.
[00:22:17] [SPEAKER_01]: All right, next.
[00:22:20] [SPEAKER_01]: Arizona at Buffalo.
[00:22:22] [SPEAKER_01]: We've got Buffalo favored minus six.
[00:22:28] [SPEAKER_01]: This is too high.
[00:22:31] [SPEAKER_01]: Buffalo is just wide receivers keep falling.
[00:22:37] [SPEAKER_01]: I get Josh Allen is really good, but so is Kyle Murray.
[00:22:41] [SPEAKER_01]: Also, can you imagine a worse quarterback to be replacing
[00:22:45] [SPEAKER_01]: like all of your secondary and Milano,
[00:22:49] [SPEAKER_01]: who was your main like Mike guy, then Kyle Murray.
[00:22:54] [SPEAKER_01]: I understand this is one of three games.
[00:22:56] [SPEAKER_01]: We're going to see him healthy, but he's healthy and that sounds not fun.
[00:23:00] [SPEAKER_01]: And between Marvin Harrison and McBride,
[00:23:04] [SPEAKER_01]: I think they have some burners out there and I don't see any way.
[00:23:10] [SPEAKER_01]: I think this is going to be the most fun game
[00:23:13] [SPEAKER_01]: of the week one.
[00:23:15] [SPEAKER_01]: I think these teams are going to go up and down on each other.
[00:23:19] [SPEAKER_01]: And so if you wanted to take over forty and a half, I wouldn't be mad at you.
[00:23:25] [SPEAKER_01]: But I'm going to take Arizona plus six.
[00:23:29] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I don't.
[00:23:31] [SPEAKER_00]: I like yes, I can't get there really with the Cardinals
[00:23:34] [SPEAKER_00]: in terms of keeping this close.
[00:23:37] [SPEAKER_00]: I agree that Buffalo lost a lot in terms of offensive weapons,
[00:23:40] [SPEAKER_00]: but I I'm just a Josh Allen believer.
[00:23:44] [SPEAKER_00]: I'm also kind of a Cardinals believer, but they have a lot of holes,
[00:23:49] [SPEAKER_00]: especially on the offensive line front,
[00:23:51] [SPEAKER_00]: which is not typically going to be a good sign.
[00:23:55] [SPEAKER_00]: So I I wouldn't disagree with taking the points.
[00:24:03] [SPEAKER_00]: But I could see a world where Josh Allen rushes for four touchdowns
[00:24:08] [SPEAKER_00]: and this isn't very close.
[00:24:19] [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, welcome now, Ryan, to the game that everyone is going to tease down.
[00:24:25] [SPEAKER_01]: Everyone you know is going to have since he had a tease.
[00:24:29] [SPEAKER_01]: They are favored minus nine for New England.
[00:24:37] [SPEAKER_01]: New England is really bad.
[00:24:42] [SPEAKER_01]: It's also just hard to beat someone by 10 points in the NFL.
[00:24:46] [SPEAKER_01]: They're starting to cover percent.
[00:24:48] [SPEAKER_01]: So he's at least an NFL quarterback who's seen stuff before.
[00:24:55] [SPEAKER_01]: I think the Bengals have traditionally been a really slow starting team.
[00:25:02] [SPEAKER_01]: They blew even their Super Bowl year.
[00:25:04] [SPEAKER_01]: They blew some real dump games early and had to really go on a run late.
[00:25:11] [SPEAKER_01]: This is probably a stay-away, because I think the Patriots have a chance
[00:25:14] [SPEAKER_01]: to be the worst team in the league for me.
[00:25:17] [SPEAKER_00]: This is a lot of points for somebody who's quarterback hasn't really been
[00:25:23] [SPEAKER_00]: able to successfully throw the ball.
[00:25:26] [SPEAKER_01]: So well, even for people who are putting it in a tease, putting it
[00:25:35] [SPEAKER_01]: in your money line parlay, everyone's going to have this.
[00:25:39] [SPEAKER_01]: And the bet that everyone has.
[00:25:42] [SPEAKER_01]: There's one or two weeks where Vegas gets booked, but it's not.
[00:25:46] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, this is no.
[00:25:46] [SPEAKER_00]: You won't catch me betting on the Bengals or teasing this game.
[00:25:51] [SPEAKER_00]: I also just don't know any like the Patriots coaching staff is completely new.
[00:25:56] [SPEAKER_00]: This isn't new team.
[00:25:57] [SPEAKER_00]: And who knows who like Minjokobi Prasada's?
[00:26:01] [SPEAKER_00]: We know exactly what he is, but he's also not bad.
[00:26:04] [SPEAKER_00]: Like we know he's not a bad quarterback.
[00:26:07] [SPEAKER_00]: So.
[00:26:09] [SPEAKER_01]: No.
[00:26:11] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, he's going to know how to read a defense.
[00:26:13] [SPEAKER_01]: He's going to know what I think he can find holes.
[00:26:15] [SPEAKER_01]: He can do things.
[00:26:17] Yeah.
[00:26:18] [SPEAKER_01]: Yep.
[00:26:20] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah.
[00:26:22] [SPEAKER_01]: Now we get to my first best bet of the week, Houston minus two and a half at Indy.
[00:26:32] [SPEAKER_01]: Indy secondary below's right?
[00:26:35] [SPEAKER_01]: We talked about it in the after the Broncos preseason.
[00:26:40] [SPEAKER_01]: We talked about it when we the Broncos preview there.
[00:26:45] [SPEAKER_01]: CJ Stroud and these weapons going into Indy minus two and a half is a gift from the gods.
[00:26:53] [SPEAKER_01]: And you know me, I'm not looking to gift horse in the mouth.
[00:26:57] [SPEAKER_01]: Don't get over complicated.
[00:26:58] [SPEAKER_01]: Don't try to find other ways to do it.
[00:27:01] [SPEAKER_01]: All this stuff.
[00:27:02] [SPEAKER_01]: Just take two and a half.
[00:27:04] [SPEAKER_01]: Just take two and a half and collect your winnings.
[00:27:08] [SPEAKER_01]: This is too low.
[00:27:11] [SPEAKER_01]: Steichen is a really good coach, but he does not have the horses to do this.
[00:27:16] [SPEAKER_01]: And you know what I wouldn't want to put Anthony Richard in the spot of having to hurl the ball all over the place versus, by the way, an unbelievable defensive coach there for Houston who's going to know how to exploit that.
[00:27:31] [SPEAKER_01]: So yeah, I think Houston is going to have a good year this year and I think that they are going to beat the other.
[00:27:39] [SPEAKER_00]: I completely agree.
[00:27:40] [SPEAKER_00]: I again am sort of struggling to figure out why this line is two and a half like it to get this under a field goal feels too respectful of Anthony Richardson.
[00:27:54] [SPEAKER_00]: Like we saw CJ Stroud in this defense be unbelievable last year.
[00:27:57] [SPEAKER_00]: So this wasn't one of my three, but you've you've talked to me into just making some money with you.
[00:28:07] [SPEAKER_00]: If that makes you feel better.
[00:28:15] [SPEAKER_01]: Great.
[00:28:16] [SPEAKER_01]: I feel great about this.
[00:28:17] [SPEAKER_01]: All right.
[00:28:19] [SPEAKER_01]: Next, we have the first of the two o'clock slate.
[00:28:24] [SPEAKER_01]: Leading it all strong Denver at Seattle.
[00:28:26] [SPEAKER_01]: We talked about this.
[00:28:28] [SPEAKER_01]: We've hinted at it.
[00:28:30] [SPEAKER_01]: This is my second of three.
[00:28:32] [SPEAKER_01]: Seattle is going to get kicked the Broncos on the road in that environment.
[00:28:37] [SPEAKER_01]: Ryan talked about it.
[00:28:38] [SPEAKER_01]: The added layer is all these people are Washington.
[00:28:41] [SPEAKER_01]: There will be a lot of orange.
[00:28:43] [SPEAKER_00]: Well, they don't like voting from there.
[00:28:54] [SPEAKER_01]: And Seattle's going to be pretty good.
[00:28:57] [SPEAKER_01]: We saw Baltimore's Mike Dow.
[00:29:01] [SPEAKER_01]: He's really good at game planning up a scheme.
[00:29:03] [SPEAKER_01]: I think they have tons of talent.
[00:29:06] [SPEAKER_01]: The other thing that I think they have is they're a young detacl, which I just think is super hard for us as a new center.
[00:29:18] [SPEAKER_01]: Like on the road center that and this center has to worry about their rookie defensive tackle coming in, disrupting things.
[00:29:27] [SPEAKER_01]: I think Gino and the boys are absolutely built to throw the ball all over the yard on us.
[00:29:33] [SPEAKER_01]: And then you put bowdicks in spots where you do not want a rookie quarterback.
[00:29:38] [SPEAKER_01]: You don't want any quarterback, but we're going to be down in this game and he's going to have to hurl this thing around.
[00:29:44] [SPEAKER_01]: And it's going to be awful.
[00:29:46] [SPEAKER_01]: I think he is it.
[00:29:51] [SPEAKER_01]: It's not going to be good.
[00:29:53] [SPEAKER_01]: I think Seattle is a playoff team.
[00:29:55] [SPEAKER_01]: I talked about they having some value on the NFC West when we were previewing that.
[00:30:02] [SPEAKER_01]: So I don't think this is a terrible loss.
[00:30:04] [SPEAKER_01]: It's not something that's going to panic me, but this coming down from minus the gift from the guys.
[00:30:10] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't disagree.
[00:30:14] [SPEAKER_00]: And just to go back to what you said, I think earlier is maybe it was during the Broncos preview,
[00:30:21] [SPEAKER_00]: but it's really the teams with multiple weapons.
[00:30:24] [SPEAKER_00]: And when you have DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett and Jackson Smith and Jigba.
[00:30:31] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, we're in pretty big trouble.
[00:30:35] [SPEAKER_00]: So I think that I would take it.
[00:30:40] [SPEAKER_00]: But honestly, I might wait these early season games like you'll get a weird touchdown early
[00:30:49] [SPEAKER_00]: that you I mean, we know exactly when it wouldn't it's scored that it doesn't mean anything.
[00:30:55] [SPEAKER_00]: Like, yeah, OK, you scored.
[00:30:58] [SPEAKER_00]: That's cute.
[00:30:58] [SPEAKER_00]: OK, that might be the only touchdown you score.
[00:31:00] [SPEAKER_00]: OK, like that was nice.
[00:31:02] [SPEAKER_00]: That was a fun scripted 15 plays you had.
[00:31:05] [SPEAKER_00]: Like, let's see what you got in the third quarter.
[00:31:08] [SPEAKER_00]: So I could see this being like the Broncos defense sort of holding strong for a driver to and then
[00:31:15] [SPEAKER_00]: bow next throwing some bomb and then the line being two and a half.
[00:31:22] [SPEAKER_01]: But yeah, I think this is an alternate line even.
[00:31:30] [SPEAKER_01]: I think the problem with that theory is I don't think we're going to score a touchdown.
[00:31:36] [SPEAKER_01]: I think we're kicking field goal.
[00:31:39] [SPEAKER_01]: That's about all that she wrote here.
[00:31:41] [SPEAKER_01]: It's going to be a forgettable debut for Bo and the boys.
[00:31:45] [SPEAKER_01]: But you know what, like I said, this is a good team.
[00:31:49] [SPEAKER_01]: This team on the road is a hard place to play.
[00:31:52] [SPEAKER_01]: That's why we didn't want Bo to start this game.
[00:31:56] [SPEAKER_01]: But you know what?
[00:31:59] [SPEAKER_01]: Water under the bridge at this point.
[00:32:01] [SPEAKER_01]: And this is my second.
[00:32:03] [SPEAKER_01]: Is this going to be a bet for you?
[00:32:04] [SPEAKER_01]: Do you feel that good about it or not?
[00:32:07] [SPEAKER_00]: Because you were on the bus on that.
[00:32:09] [SPEAKER_00]: So it's not a bet for me.
[00:32:10] [SPEAKER_00]: I think they're genuine.
[00:32:11] [SPEAKER_00]: I just I don't want more than a field goal.
[00:32:16] [SPEAKER_01]: But fair enough, fair enough.
[00:32:24] [SPEAKER_01]: All right.
[00:32:25] [SPEAKER_01]: Now we have a divisional game.
[00:32:29] [SPEAKER_01]: Raiders at the Chargers.
[00:32:31] [SPEAKER_01]: Not really at the Chargers, because the Chargers only have one fan in the whole NFL.
[00:32:39] [SPEAKER_01]: But shout out to Steve.
[00:32:42] [SPEAKER_01]: But this game is not one of my best bets.
[00:32:49] [SPEAKER_01]: But I looked at it in terms of why on earth would I take
[00:32:55] [SPEAKER_01]: a no column, a no Connell versus Justin Herbert?
[00:32:59] [SPEAKER_01]: Like and we've talked about Pierce versus Harbaugh.
[00:33:05] [SPEAKER_01]: It doesn't make sense to me.
[00:33:07] [SPEAKER_01]: Can we say that about why I do such a thing?
[00:33:11] [SPEAKER_01]: And I think that this is a charger.
[00:33:14] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't I don't either.
[00:33:15] [SPEAKER_00]: It's just a hard ball.
[00:33:17] [SPEAKER_00]: Like, I'm going to watch this game really intently,
[00:33:19] [SPEAKER_00]: because I think it will be actually it might not be the most entertaining game.
[00:33:23] [SPEAKER_00]: I think it could be sort of a war of attrition.
[00:33:27] [SPEAKER_00]: This game, I mean, the over under this is an under play.
[00:33:30] [SPEAKER_00]: If you're going to play it, they can't make this line low enough
[00:33:35] [SPEAKER_00]: because there's not going to be a lot of
[00:33:38] [SPEAKER_00]: while the Chargers are just going to run the air out of the ball.
[00:33:41] [SPEAKER_00]: That's what their strategy is going to be the whole year.
[00:33:45] [SPEAKER_00]: So. No, exactly.
[00:33:49] [SPEAKER_01]: And why would Raiders?
[00:33:51] [SPEAKER_00]: I do think that the Chargers, I believe in Harbaugh.
[00:33:54] [SPEAKER_00]: And so I do, I would play the Chargers minus three here.
[00:33:58] [SPEAKER_00]: It's also not one of my best bets.
[00:34:06] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, this is a split screen for us Broncos fans.
[00:34:11] [SPEAKER_01]: You got the division and you kind of want to see, right?
[00:34:14] [SPEAKER_01]: Like, because it's scary.
[00:34:16] [SPEAKER_00]: Well, the problem with the NFL is that we can have all four
[00:34:20] [SPEAKER_00]: late games going on one television.
[00:34:22] [SPEAKER_00]: Then you're like, because they hate us
[00:34:25] [SPEAKER_00]: and want us to have to watch 19 games at 11 a.m.
[00:34:29] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah. Yeah, that's wild.
[00:34:37] [SPEAKER_01]: The Marquis game we've got Tom Brady calling it
[00:34:41] [SPEAKER_01]: Dallas and Cleveland,
[00:34:44] [SPEAKER_01]: Cleveland minus two and a half here.
[00:34:52] [SPEAKER_01]: Can someone explain to me why I shouldn't take Dallas Moneyline here?
[00:34:58] [SPEAKER_01]: It feels like any game that we get to Sean
[00:35:03] [SPEAKER_01]: is going to be bad.
[00:35:05] [SPEAKER_01]: And once they figure that out and get him out of here, he was bad
[00:35:09] [SPEAKER_00]: last year, but the record when he played was actually pretty good.
[00:35:12] [SPEAKER_00]: Just like last year, he was bad.
[00:35:15] [SPEAKER_00]: But the defense was so unbelievable that it was.
[00:35:18] [SPEAKER_00]: The reason you don't take the Cowboys here is because of vibes.
[00:35:23] [SPEAKER_00]: This whole training camp has been so weird.
[00:35:26] [SPEAKER_00]: And this team is like they're hanging out by a threat.
[00:35:37] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, these are two weird vibes teams.
[00:35:40] [SPEAKER_01]: Like the Sean has been apparently not very coachable in training camp.
[00:35:44] [SPEAKER_01]: He's been kind of off the side, you know, doing his own thing.
[00:35:50] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think he's popular in that locker room.
[00:35:52] [SPEAKER_01]: I think I think the moment they can get Jason,
[00:35:56] [SPEAKER_01]: James Winston in there eating his fingers, they are going to try to do so
[00:36:01] [SPEAKER_01]: because yeah, I just think Dallas was good last year.
[00:36:05] [SPEAKER_01]: Like genuinely very good last year on offense.
[00:36:08] [SPEAKER_01]: And so I don't think you can hold Dallas under 20.
[00:36:12] [SPEAKER_01]: And I don't think any DeSean Watson led offense is getting to 20.
[00:36:16] [SPEAKER_01]: So it's not one of my best three.
[00:36:19] [SPEAKER_01]: That's actually you're going to play like you through the whole season.
[00:36:24] [SPEAKER_00]: So I'll stick with what I said then. Boom, baby.
[00:36:33] [SPEAKER_01]: Rare, by the way, underdog like such a public team as Cowboys
[00:36:39] [SPEAKER_01]: as underdog.
[00:36:42] [SPEAKER_01]: So I think for me, enjoy it like regular season Cowboys are different than playoff Cowboys.
[00:36:49] [SPEAKER_01]: Like regular season Cowboys pretty profitable to bet on.
[00:36:54] [SPEAKER_01]: Now we've got Washington, Tampa Bay.
[00:37:01] [SPEAKER_01]: Obviously another fun rookie quarterback to watch.
[00:37:04] [SPEAKER_01]: Um,
[00:37:07] [SPEAKER_01]: and based favorite by three.
[00:37:08] [SPEAKER_01]: It's in Tampa Bay.
[00:37:10] [SPEAKER_01]: We have a rookie quarterback on the road.
[00:37:12] [SPEAKER_01]: That's enough for me.
[00:37:13] [SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to take Tampa Bay, but I think Tampa Bay is a down year.
[00:37:16] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think they're exceptionally good.
[00:37:19] [SPEAKER_01]: So
[00:37:21] [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think that Dan Campbell
[00:37:26] [SPEAKER_01]: or I'm sorry, Dan Quinn
[00:37:30] [SPEAKER_01]: is a creative enough guy to like help a rookie quarterback enough
[00:37:35] [SPEAKER_01]: to get his first win on the road.
[00:37:38] [SPEAKER_01]: But I don't trust the box nearly enough
[00:37:43] [SPEAKER_01]: to try to bet on this.
[00:37:46] [SPEAKER_01]: So I'll take the box of minus three, but it's purely a rookie quarterback.
[00:37:51] [SPEAKER_01]: And I don't think that yeah, I just quite ready to make enough explosive place.
[00:37:56] [SPEAKER_00]: I have the Ginsbergs.
[00:37:58] [SPEAKER_00]: Washington Ginsbergs won.
[00:38:00] [SPEAKER_00]: And I would probably bet on the money line here.
[00:38:05] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, so.
[00:38:08] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I just don't.
[00:38:10] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't like the box at all.
[00:38:11] [SPEAKER_00]: I don't think we talked about it a little bit
[00:38:14] [SPEAKER_00]: when during the Broncos preview, just about his quarterback play.
[00:38:19] [SPEAKER_00]: But I think it was a little bit of fool's gold last year
[00:38:21] [SPEAKER_00]: and I just don't necessarily see it being repeatable.
[00:38:28] [SPEAKER_00]: Oh, it's all said.
[00:38:30] [SPEAKER_01]: This is going to be a hit in this game, by the way.
[00:38:33] [SPEAKER_01]: And they they are absolutely the foxes trying to show this in zero markets.
[00:38:40] [SPEAKER_01]: Like there's really three games going on in the afternoon and in Washington.
[00:38:45] [SPEAKER_01]: Even watch it.
[00:38:47] [SPEAKER_01]: They're like, are you sure you don't want to?
[00:38:50] [SPEAKER_01]: You sure you don't watch Tom?
[00:38:52] [SPEAKER_01]: He's calling the other game.
[00:38:55] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, this is going to be his football.
[00:39:01] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, also it's wild that that game has a higher
[00:39:05] [SPEAKER_01]: it's respect to Cleveland's defense, but the over-under is 42 and a half
[00:39:09] [SPEAKER_01]: in that Dallas and Cleveland game.
[00:39:11] [SPEAKER_01]: And it's 43 and a half in this day.
[00:39:14] [SPEAKER_01]: Why did you explain to me how I think there's definitely a difference
[00:39:18] [SPEAKER_01]: of touchdown baked in the market there.
[00:39:21] [SPEAKER_01]: Rolling pick senses.
[00:39:25] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah.
[00:39:26] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, yeah, yeah.
[00:39:28] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, if they let you say well,
[00:39:30] [SPEAKER_01]: sure we can bet that yes, I think you'd sprinkle a little on that.
[00:39:35] [SPEAKER_01]: Maybe that's how you bet that game.
[00:39:39] [SPEAKER_01]: All right, while you're finding that
[00:39:43] [SPEAKER_01]: that is the end of that poop.
[00:39:48] [SPEAKER_00]: You can take them both.
[00:39:49] [SPEAKER_00]: The last two games are awesome.
[00:39:51] [SPEAKER_00]: You can take both defenses to score a touchdown plus 500.
[00:40:01] [SPEAKER_00]: I love an interception bet too.
[00:40:06] [SPEAKER_00]: Baker's minus 135 and Jaden Daniels minus 135.
[00:40:10] [SPEAKER_00]: That's picking up free money on the ground.
[00:40:18] [SPEAKER_00]: You can parlay that for plus 190.
[00:40:21] [SPEAKER_00]: So there you go, folks.
[00:40:22] [SPEAKER_00]: They will hold it.
[00:40:23] [SPEAKER_00]: Wait, can I make that my third bet?
[00:40:28] [SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to sit on that for a second.
[00:40:30] [SPEAKER_00]: I didn't have one that I've got.
[00:40:32] [SPEAKER_00]: You want to?
[00:40:35] [SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
[00:40:41] [SPEAKER_01]: LA at Detroit rematch of the playoff game was insanely good playoff game.
[00:40:49] [SPEAKER_01]: If the Rams win that, you could say maybe they go to the Super Bowl last year.
[00:40:54] [SPEAKER_01]: It was that close, that fun, all of that.
[00:40:59] [SPEAKER_01]: Two insanely hiked up teams.
[00:41:00] [SPEAKER_01]: Detroit favored by three and a half here.
[00:41:05] [SPEAKER_01]: Highest over under of the week at 51.
[00:41:09] [SPEAKER_01]: I think that's reflected in no air and Donald and the Rams defense is pretty bad,
[00:41:15] [SPEAKER_01]: but also the Rams offense should be awesome here.
[00:41:21] [SPEAKER_01]: So I don't have any strong feelings about this.
[00:41:24] [SPEAKER_01]: I think Detroit's better.
[00:41:30] [SPEAKER_01]: But it wouldn't shock me if the Rams found a way here.
[00:41:36] [SPEAKER_01]: So I'd probably stay away on Sunday night.
[00:41:40] [SPEAKER_01]: And if you forced me to pick this game,
[00:41:44] [SPEAKER_01]: I would probably find a way to just put it in a money line parlay
[00:41:48] [SPEAKER_01]: and I'd just take Detroit.
[00:41:51] [SPEAKER_00]: The hook is scary.
[00:41:53] [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, it's three and a half for a reason, right?
[00:42:00] [SPEAKER_00]: I really believe in Detroit, so I want to just lay the points here.
[00:42:07] [SPEAKER_00]: But it's the Lions, so it just feels funny still to be lying three and a half
[00:42:14] [SPEAKER_00]: against what I think is going to be like a serviceable Rams team.
[00:42:18] [SPEAKER_00]: I'm not buying into the hype that they're going to be good at all.
[00:42:22] [SPEAKER_00]: I think the offense will be fine, but that defense is going to be terrible.
[00:42:33] [SPEAKER_01]: And that's what scares me in this game is like a 10 point lead
[00:42:36] [SPEAKER_01]: and all of a sudden I have Stafford and the boys coming down against this
[00:42:41] [SPEAKER_01]: Detroit team and you're like, God, Cup and Nakuha are catching everything.
[00:42:46] [SPEAKER_01]: And we just get back to it.
[00:42:47] [SPEAKER_01]: That's why I think I would just go money line.
[00:42:49] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I agree.
[00:42:50] [SPEAKER_00]: I think the Lions are the player here.
[00:43:01] [SPEAKER_01]: Last one.
[00:43:02] [SPEAKER_01]: I waited until the very last game to give out my best bet here.
[00:43:10] [SPEAKER_01]: Jets are plus three and a half at the 49ers.
[00:43:15] [SPEAKER_00]: Are you taking money line or three and a half?
[00:43:17] [SPEAKER_01]: I think this is my third one as well.
[00:43:23] [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, yeah.
[00:43:26] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it's the Jets are at the same.
[00:43:30] [SPEAKER_01]: We touted the we haven't had a IU can training camp.
[00:43:34] [SPEAKER_01]: We don't know what Trent Williams looks like.
[00:43:37] [SPEAKER_01]: We don't have the cavalry.
[00:43:41] [SPEAKER_01]: It looks like I can't figure out why to take.
[00:43:49] [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, this I think Jets team at all.
[00:43:56] [SPEAKER_01]: The only thing that scares me is we haven't seen seen Rogers in live action this year.
[00:44:02] [SPEAKER_01]: And there's a chance he just boops the bed.
[00:44:05] [SPEAKER_00]: But I think it was an impressive figure out with Garrett Wilson.
[00:44:11] [SPEAKER_00]: I feel pretty confident with that.
[00:44:14] [SPEAKER_00]: So I couldn't agree with you more here.
[00:44:17] [SPEAKER_00]: Breece Hall, like this team arguably has more talent than the 49ers.
[00:44:25] [SPEAKER_00]: And certainly more healthy talent.
[00:44:27] [SPEAKER_00]: So I am more talented when through training camp.
[00:44:33] [SPEAKER_00]: So I can't figure out why this line is the way that it is.
[00:44:38] [SPEAKER_00]: And I love the plus whatever 170 is what I'm looking at.
[00:44:41] [SPEAKER_00]: So, yeah, I will play that.
[00:44:52] [SPEAKER_00]: And I'm going to hope they fall behind and I can hammer it live.
[00:44:57] [SPEAKER_01]: Alright.
[00:45:01] [SPEAKER_01]: Double down.
[00:45:03] [SPEAKER_01]: Right.
[00:45:04] [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah.
[00:45:05] [SPEAKER_01]: We'll have so much money in our account from these other wins over the weekend.
[00:45:10] [SPEAKER_00]: I will be on a river for part of Sunday.
[00:45:12] [SPEAKER_00]: So, it's going to be tricky for your boy out there.
[00:45:16] [SPEAKER_00]: But we'll figure it out.
[00:45:22] [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
[00:45:23] [SPEAKER_01]: I believe in you.
[00:45:25] [SPEAKER_01]: Get a satellite just hold it above you.
[00:45:27] [SPEAKER_01]: Get some cell service out there.
[00:45:29] [SPEAKER_01]: You're going to be great.
[00:45:31] [SPEAKER_01]: Alright.
[00:45:32] [SPEAKER_01]: Thank you for sticking with us.
[00:45:34] [SPEAKER_01]: Two partner here.
[00:45:36] [SPEAKER_01]: We hope you gave you some good knowledge.
[00:45:37] [SPEAKER_01]: Hopefully we're going to have a fun NFL season with you.
[00:45:41] [SPEAKER_01]: We appreciate you listening to the podcast.
[00:45:43] [SPEAKER_01]: Please like, subscribe, share it with your friends.
[00:45:46] [SPEAKER_01]: All that good jazz.
[00:45:50] [SPEAKER_01]: But we'll talk to you next week after we're going to play a rare role in this week, we think right.
[00:45:56] [SPEAKER_01]: We're going to be here to calm down the Broncos fans about bow nicks and to maybe lift them up a little back into the clouds so that we can go get this Russell Wilson W and week two.
[00:46:09] [SPEAKER_01]: So, we'll talk to you next week and please like, subscribe, share with a friend.
[00:46:16] [SPEAKER_01]: The Blues for Brothers.

