Divisional Round 2024 (Part 2)
The Blucifer BrothersJanuary 18, 2024x
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00:45:0430.98 MB

Divisional Round 2024 (Part 2)

Ryan [@ryanpoland1] and Kyle [@KylePoland3] talk about each matchup in this divisional round of the NFL playoffs. 

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[00:00:00] We're back for a never before seen part two of The Blucifer Brothers.

[00:00:06] We had to do it after going foreign to each in the wildcard weekend.

[00:00:12] We come into break in the divisional round.

[00:00:14] We will hear no protests.

[00:00:16] Damn, put that funky music.

[00:00:24] Welcome back to part two of The Blucifer Brothers.

[00:00:29] Part one, thanks again to Dom for joining us.

[00:00:32] It was great to get into the Aves.

[00:00:34] I feel like we have a better understanding.

[00:00:36] I feel like we're fully locked in now Ryan and we're ready for the stretch run.

[00:00:41] And I think it's going to be a fun season.

[00:00:44] But we are in the playoffs.

[00:00:46] We are in the stretch run of another sport and that is the NFL playoffs.

[00:00:56] Ryan, we both went foreign to

[00:00:59] and the opening weekend.

[00:01:01] We are tied despite your childish protests.

[00:01:06] No, you don't get to, you do not get to, you do not hold on.

[00:01:12] Press Dan.

[00:01:13] Hold on.

[00:01:14] You don't get to preempt my argument with your strong man.

[00:01:19] Before I even get, let me just tell the people what they need to know about this.

[00:01:24] We'll let the people decide.

[00:01:26] But you can claim your foreign to for the intro.

[00:01:30] We'll let the true fans of the podcast tell us, you know.

[00:01:34] We'll get some feedback.

[00:01:36] Well, I can tell you, Commissioner Dan is a just man

[00:01:43] and his ruling shall be upheld.

[00:01:46] And I have faith in the system.

[00:01:48] So, Ryan, the divisional round,

[00:01:53] traditionally this is the most fun round.

[00:01:57] Because normally we like get rid of some crappy teams

[00:02:00] and we did get rid of some crappy teams like the Steelers.

[00:02:06] But also we lost the two seed in the NFC

[00:02:12] and now we have a seven seed who is started out as a 10 point underdog and is now down to nine

[00:02:20] and a half. And then you also have a pretty darn sizeable favorite there in Alliance

[00:02:29] with minus six against the bucks as well.

[00:02:33] So, oh, and the Ravens are now huge favorites as well.

[00:02:42] So three of these games are hanging either a little over a touchdown or a little under.

[00:02:50] Do you think the... Are you excited about these games?

[00:02:54] Or did we get... Are we going to have some blow outs this weekend?

[00:02:59] Overall, do you think?

[00:03:01] Well, I don't think we're going to get blow outs.

[00:03:06] Even I think if a game ends up over 10 points,

[00:03:09] you know, I think the true NFL junkies like yourself and myself will understand that

[00:03:16] a 10 point it could finish as a 10 or 14 point game

[00:03:19] and that doesn't mean that it wasn't entertaining to watch.

[00:03:22] So, I do think that these matchups are entertaining and I think they provide a lot of intrigue.

[00:03:30] Right? Like there's a lot of things going on in these playoffs which for like the general

[00:03:37] enjoyment of talking about the games and thinking about how the games are going to play out.

[00:03:42] Like, I think it's got a lot to offer in terms of the actual gameplay.

[00:03:47] I recognize why some people might be a little concerned.

[00:03:53] I'm excited for this Texans Ravens game. I think it's going to be...

[00:03:58] I mean, CJ Straal, the Mar Jackson, Domingico, Rhyans on the other side of the Mar Jackson.

[00:04:04] Like, I think it's going to be a really exciting game and the other game obviously that everybody is

[00:04:11] excited for is Chiefs Bills. I don't actually think that that's going to be as close as people

[00:04:16] think it's going to be. I'm interested to see what your thoughts are there as well, but

[00:04:22] I think the sleeper and we've sort of been talking about them a little bit is this Packers 49ers

[00:04:28] game. I do not think that the potential big brother, little brother thing has nothing to

[00:04:36] at play there. So, I think there's really interesting and obviously the lion's dynamic of

[00:04:42] they've never been really in this position in most of our lifetimes. Like, this is sort of new

[00:04:48] for them and I am a little worried about them and a lot downspot if I'm being honest. So,

[00:04:57] I sort of think that these games are going to be a lot closer than the lions certainly make

[00:05:01] them think they are. And just like in the wild card, I think there's a lot of value on these

[00:05:07] underdogs. Yeah, it's going to be an interesting weekend. Let's hop into it. But

[00:05:18] let's start with I agree with you potentially the most fun matchup we have Lamar and the Ravens

[00:05:27] at home first Houston in the Texans. This is going to start us off to 30 on ESPN.

[00:05:34] The Ravens are favored by not nine and a half. What are your thoughts here, Ryan?

[00:05:42] Well, I think the first thing is how the Ravens respond to this by. So, I think typically these

[00:05:53] by teams come off and they're a little shaky a little bit. It's not necessarily that they

[00:06:00] look bad. It's just they are not as crisp those first 20 plays, the first scripted plays that

[00:06:08] typically you see a team really excel in and be like, oh it's this is going to be an easy drive.

[00:06:16] I think I could see the Texans looking sharper for the first half. And I think that this

[00:06:23] this Texans team is explosive. They're going to test this Ravens defense and I think that the

[00:06:33] Ravens are going to win this game but I think CJ Stroud is going to have a big game. I don't

[00:06:38] think he's going to have a rookie let down. I sort of think that this has shoot out potential

[00:06:44] which is exciting to think about. Yeah, I just am on guard here because I last weekend

[00:06:59] I knew and you as well we told you loyal listeners of the podcast we said hey take Packer's Money

[00:07:07] Line as well as that plus seven that plus seven is free money but the money line is pretty good odds.

[00:07:14] What did we see there? A coach in quarterback tandem that had been kind of shaky in the playoffs

[00:07:22] with McCarthy and Dac. And to your point, the Maureen Harbaugh have not been great in the playoffs

[00:07:32] and in this spot. Now new offensive coordinator you know sometimes it just takes a while for

[00:07:39] the luck to roll your way. Remember I mean less than 10 years ago when people were saying Andy

[00:07:46] Reed couldn't win big games you know the narrative changes quickly but I am on guard for that

[00:07:54] and over a touchdown Lamar is two and eight or I'm sorry he's only covered once as a favorite

[00:08:04] over a touchdown or more in his last 10 games. So I think this is too many points.

[00:08:12] I think that this is going to be a shootout. I think it's going to be awesome

[00:08:17] and I think the Texans are even if they're down 15 your backdoor cover is going to be so live.

[00:08:26] And so my first one give me strad in the Texans. I'm taking on plus nine and a half.

[00:08:34] What say you Ryan? I'm definitely taking on plus nine and a half. And I think just to like sort of

[00:08:40] hammer home your point right. If you look at let's see if let's work backwards right let's just

[00:08:48] look at their last couple of weeks of the regular season we'll throw out the Steelers game that

[00:08:54] didn't really have any meeting there. They kicked the absolute crap out of a dolphins team that

[00:09:02] was very injured. They beat a 49ers team on a short week that was coming off of an emotional win.

[00:09:10] They beat a Jaguars team that we all recognize now is fraudulent.

[00:09:15] They had to go to overtime with the Rams team that we recognize as a relatively good team right

[00:09:21] now. They beat the chargers 20 to 10. We recognize that the chargers are terrible. They beat a Joe

[00:09:29] Burrowless Bengals team 34 to 20. And then they got beat by the Browns. So like there's a fair bit

[00:09:38] of evidence that this team is not necessarily the like they won a lot of those games right which

[00:09:43] is obviously the goal you know I'm not picking them apart for winning games but I'm just saying that

[00:09:49] they didn't necessarily beat a juggernaut of gauntlet of teams to get to where they've gotten.

[00:09:54] It was sort of the rest of the AFC faded away in those last couple weeks and they just kept

[00:10:00] beating these bad teams which the other teams couldn't do. The Chiefs couldn't do it,

[00:10:04] the Bidolphins couldn't do it. They couldn't win against bad teams which is all they needed to do

[00:10:08] to take this number one see the way from the Braavans. Mark Andrews is not coming back you know like

[00:10:15] this team is dealt with their fair share of adversity here too and I think it is uh

[00:10:19] I think I've talked myself a little bit into the money line play here and I love the 9.5.

[00:10:27] I think and I think to your point that you mentioned I don't think you did it by accident.

[00:10:32] I think if you're going to play the 9.5 I think it's worth a sprinkle on the money line here.

[00:10:38] Yep okay so we are both locked in with the first game of the day.

[00:10:42] I also think that Nico Collins is going to have a big game if we're just looking at like a player

[00:10:47] prop if you're following our sort of game script of like this is going to be a shootout.

[00:10:53] This is going to be a high flying game and the techsons are going to be able to stay in it.

[00:10:59] Yeah he was unbelievable he was great so I think it's just uh that's another angle to sort of

[00:11:04] look at if you want if you're scared of the money line which is more my play of like I'm not

[00:11:09] going to play the money line live I'm going to hope that they get behind and I get a better number

[00:11:13] but I'm going to jump in on those player park markets that I think no matter what this team the

[00:11:19] Ravens are going to score points right so like they're going to have to throw the ball and Nico

[00:11:23] Collins is by far their best threat and he's sort of like a vintage wide receiver right now where

[00:11:28] he's always open and Stroud knows it so. Yep only thing that makes me scared here is uh dom team

[00:11:39] rookie quarterback on the road it's going to be cold um so it's there like a slam dunk pink

[00:11:46] and I'm not saying that it would shock me if the Ravens blew them out or if the Ravens won the

[00:11:51] Super Bowl like to be clear I think the Ravens are going to win the game and I think that the

[00:11:56] techsons are going to cover. I agree with you is there a world where Ryan says the Texans catch

[00:12:03] lightning and you know Lamar makes a few mistakes of course we're talking to Texans have enough

[00:12:09] I think talent to make that a possibility. It's one of those things where it's like it's your classic

[00:12:15] gamblers situation where you're talking about the value of the line as opposed to what you actually

[00:12:22] think is going to happen like I think there's an equal chance that I can get the the uh

[00:12:32] Texans at plus 330 before the game and then they get out to a lead on a rusty Ravens team I can

[00:12:41] cash that out at half time and bet it back on the Ravens like those are the type of things that

[00:12:46] and you know it's you might not have to it that's just how I see the game sort of playing out

[00:12:52] right like yeah so and I don't think you're going to be able to get that value necessarily immediately

[00:12:59] when the lines when the game starts you're going to be losing closing line value if the Texans

[00:13:05] jump out to an early lead and wish you would have had a pregame yeah I would also look at

[00:13:11] uh over here for longest completion for both uh both quarterbacks here uh the Houston Texan

[00:13:19] secondary just sucks and they're so bad the Ravens love to blitz so I wasn't aware of

[00:13:28] Del's longest completion is going to look like we're a little early in the week to be finding

[00:13:32] lines like that but that's the sort of stuff that I think you could definitely be looking at

[00:13:38] all right uh then we're moving on Saturday on Fox we have Green Bay visiting San Francisco

[00:13:46] and as I'm looking at it right now it's gone back up plus 10

[00:13:51] and uh I like the 49ers Kyle Shanahan's 4 and 0 straight up and against the spread at home in the

[00:14:04] divisional round uh he always kicks the ever loving hell out of LaFlora this is a compliment

[00:14:14] to love but I was literally when I was we're watching the Packers game at a bar I leaned over

[00:14:20] to the guy next being I said man that throw kind of reminded you are Rogers like you just bought

[00:14:25] just enough time he moved his arm angle and he hit a guy right on the spot and it's you know

[00:14:31] as a defense you go what the hell like that should be a negative play and you turned it into a 15

[00:14:36] yard game when he's got both feet off the ground Rogers did yeah it's like Aaron Rogers has done

[00:14:42] very bad against this defense and that includes in Lambo remember he was favored against them

[00:14:49] and got smoked so I just think this coaching mismatch is too big I think the 49ers are

[00:15:00] three heads and then some shoulders above everybody in the NFC uh I don't think it's particularly

[00:15:07] close at all I like this team here they've been able to rest up their stars and we've been saying

[00:15:15] it all year if Debo plays if Christian plays if I use plays if Kettle plays you're probably going to

[00:15:21] get your ass beat and that's I think that's for anyone in the NFL I don't even the Ravens

[00:15:29] I think if it was a Super Bowl you give Shanahan two weeks I think you're catching an L

[00:15:36] what's a you are you seemed intrigued yeah in the intro maybe by the Packers I mean I am intrigued right

[00:15:46] um in terms of like in theory I think uh eventually the floor is going to catch McVeh and he's just

[00:15:58] going to beat him and I yeah I don't think that's going to continue or not McVeh uh Shanahan but I

[00:16:08] I don't think it's going to be this week I think the talent of the 49ers is too overwhelming for

[00:16:14] this Packers team uh the Packers have been extremely impressive story the fact that they got the

[00:16:22] the visual round the year after they got rid of uh Aaron Rodgers is like some real just desserts

[00:16:29] I just think it sort of ends here I don't think it I think it's a great story I think it's great

[00:16:34] experience for love and I think the team will be better for it but I think they're probably going to

[00:16:41] uh this to me has the biggest blowout potential of the weekend um and I think it could just get

[00:16:48] you could get crooked quick here uh if love turns it over if there's a fumble like there's

[00:16:55] there's just so many ways that this 49ers team could beat you and I just I think it's eventually

[00:17:01] going to overwhelm them I I could see it being close at half but I I this line is really tough for me

[00:17:08] the 10 is a tough number uh you know I know you cheated last week so I'm tempted to just go on a

[00:17:15] different sportsbook and find a different line um but uh I think there were some nine and a half

[00:17:23] hanging around no I that affected to you it draft Kings is getting up to draft Kings is nine and a

[00:17:30] half right now um I think it does affect it a little bit I I think the 10 you're just saying

[00:17:38] you feel comfortable with the Niners yeah me as well yeah yeah yeah I I want the Niners at that

[00:17:43] nine and a half so I'll take the Niners minus nine and a half here with the caveat that like

[00:17:50] I could see some weird Packers shit happening where they end up losing by seven you know like

[00:17:54] I'm not going to be spending any of my hard earned money on this um so it's a be careful spot out

[00:18:00] there a little bit to me yeah I'm more tempted to find like an alternate spread and take the 49ers

[00:18:06] minus 20 and a half or something ridiculous it just being like uh I'm more tempted to

[00:18:14] put my hard earned cash on the 49ers like these guys love laying on these big spreads

[00:18:22] I'm telling you they beat up on Mike McCarthy I'm pretty sure that's bullying honestly

[00:18:31] and now they've got a functioning adult coaching the other team not just a functioning adult but

[00:18:37] one of the best coaches um I yeah I'm I think the NFC as a whole sucks at besides the 49ers

[00:18:45] is kind of what I took from Wildcard Weekend with how Dallas and Philly pooped the bed

[00:18:54] which I'm so furious you know what let's just get into it Ryan the we saw one man who eats crayons

[00:19:03] go down in Mike McCarthy and somehow I put my faith in another man who eats crayons for fun

[00:19:13] in Matt Patricia running that Eagles defense and so I would like to make this a rule for next year

[00:19:20] I'd like you to remind me if I've ever made a joke about this coach eating crayons I'm not

[00:19:26] allowed to bet on them I have wildcard weekday hey we're gonna call it the crayon initiative and

[00:19:33] we are going to try to keep the playoffs crayola free I'm I'm happy to be a sponsor a co-sponsory

[00:19:40] then of your crayola bill if you also will be a sponsor of my you can't change your pick after

[00:19:48] the podcast comes out law that I think should be adopted for the okay well for people wondering

[00:19:58] about your four and two record your ears don't deceive you Kyle did decide to change his pick

[00:20:04] after the podcast came out and I tweeted it out for the good people as soon as it was posted who

[00:20:11] is using my ex anymore who is using that Elon Musk line machine you mentioned it to me specifically

[00:20:20] yeah well that makes a lot of sense about why you think you can just bend the rules to your

[00:20:26] whatever you think is right Elon all right Elon whatever you think buddy what can I say

[00:20:33] misunderstood genius I am all right so Tampa Bay beat up on Philly

[00:20:41] they get to come to Detroit who kind of gotten sanely lucky it was a heartwarming thing it was a

[00:20:51] cool thing to watch but they absolutely mauled that wide receiver and now it have been a first out

[00:20:59] and they kicked the field goal and I think this game's being played in Tampa with Stafford coming

[00:21:07] down there and to be clear I'd have been betting on Stafford but here minus six for the lions Ryan

[00:21:20] that's a big number to be laying with Jared golf they scored three points the whole second half

[00:21:26] against the Rams like it's that defense is really bad and the wide receivers are really good for Tampa

[00:21:39] this is another save yourself from yourself spot like just if you love somebody you know if you

[00:21:47] if you love somebody reach out to him and say hey don't bet on the spread of this buck in your

[00:21:52] slions game just don't do it just you know save yourself some save yourself some heartache

[00:22:00] bet on a mic Evans over bet on a mic Evans touched out like they're gonna score a shit done

[00:22:06] of points on this game and I don't want any of my harder money to be spent on Matthew Stafford

[00:22:12] in a divisional round game and I sure as shit don't want any money spent on or what's his not

[00:22:20] golf but golf and golf and Baker you want me to choose between golf and Baker I like what do you

[00:22:31] know I'll take neither I'll take my Gevens over let me find a good player and just bet on them to do well

[00:22:41] and so I agree with you this is a stayaway spot LaPorta final LaPorta and my Gevens over 80 yards

[00:22:50] you're gonna be feeling okay I don't care dude that guy is a baller I trust him I will be played

[00:22:58] I followed Dan into the depths of hell on a LaPorta anytime touchdown and let me tell you I loved it

[00:23:06] I loved every depth of that hell so I think I just think he's gonna be he's a baller like he's

[00:23:15] gonna catch some balls so I and my Gevens has been having just I mean if they're gonna win this

[00:23:22] game which I think they do have a chance to if we're being very clear I think my Gevens is going

[00:23:30] to have an absolutely bonkers game I will say for the people who you know aren't maybe as well

[00:23:39] connected as us I do have a source with an Esch Sharp betting group which means that I got a deal

[00:23:48] and paid $25 to pay for some schmucks picks they are a lot of sharp action on Rashad white

[00:23:58] unders which to me just means that this is gonna be issued out as well like they're just going

[00:24:03] to be a ton of points in this game and there's not gonna be a lot of running involved so don't

[00:24:08] be betting on your gym or kids don't be betting on those things you know find a wide receiver

[00:24:13] property like and and hammer it yeah the the buck still run suck at running the football

[00:24:21] it was just that the Eagles appeared to be determined to let them run the football

[00:24:27] which was true Jedi mind work from the chosen one Patricia he really did the lords work there

[00:24:36] so I don't hate that I think God you could ask me at any moment and I'd change my pick

[00:24:46] I'm going to give me golf in the boys at home I have to stay in my

[00:24:55] you know it's like how they say it doesn't matter whether you hit or not on 15 in blackjack

[00:25:04] but just do the same thing no every time I'm just betting against Baker

[00:25:10] I don't think you can have two straight good playoff games I've seen him be too bad over the past

[00:25:18] like I mean he was the worst quarterback in the NFL in Carolina

[00:25:23] and they still had DJ more like it's bad so it's this is

[00:25:32] okay so I'm gonna take the Lions minus six I don't trust it to Ryan's point

[00:25:39] don't take that to the bank don't don't do anything I'm I'm gonna agree with you I'm gonna take

[00:25:50] I feel like it's almost better for the podcast if I do take the box because it's another

[00:25:56] situation where I sort of like the bucks money line and the Lions against the sprat

[00:26:00] door is gonna be open uh yes very and you know Baker loves to find it back to the fore

[00:26:11] so I would still be nervous now I'm gonna take the Lions here I think the home field advantage is

[00:26:19] going to be too overwhelming at this point and I think Baker's gonna throw this ball away twice

[00:26:25] even to a terrible Lions defense so I just don't trust the bucks turn over luck here and if I did

[00:26:32] if I thought that they had like a game manager who could really just rain himself in

[00:26:38] then I would probably be taking the bucks in this spot but Baker is not that he has not proven

[00:26:43] to be that throughout his career so I'm in a stay away from that yeah um all right last game

[00:26:51] probably most exciting game from like you said a storyline standpoint I don't sleep on stride and

[00:26:59] no more I think there could be like three holy shit plays in that game that you just go what uh

[00:27:09] yeah and if they're so good Kyle yeah they're they're both so good would stride is making those

[00:27:15] I don't want to I don't want to I don't want to tell you about this guy see Jay Stroud Kyle

[00:27:27] but yeah I just don't even know what to say yeah oh okay the heart wants what it wants um now

[00:27:39] the the bills at home yeah first KC it is minus two and a half for the bills this is the first

[00:27:48] a bunch of being made about this being the first road playoff game of my homes career so he's going to

[00:27:56] Buffalo it's gonna be cold their fans are gonna be insane is this the year the Buffalo gets it done right

[00:28:09] I don't think so no no I don't think so I I just trust my homes and read too much at this point

[00:28:25] I think uh and I mean literally too much like it's it's actually they don't deserve it and I

[00:28:32] shouldn't be giving it to them um but I I looked up the weather because that is that was a concern

[00:28:43] to me because if it's just gonna be cold that's one thing if it's gonna be cold and wet that's

[00:28:49] another and I don't think the chiefs can can do another cold in wet game and still win like I

[00:28:57] think Pacheco is good enough but the the ability of um these receivers to get open

[00:29:11] is real like they're open they just have to catch the ball and I think

[00:29:18] they're probably going to have one of those games where they just catch the ball

[00:29:23] and my homes is good and Alan will make a mistake and McDormick will do something stupid

[00:29:30] and then you've got 200 000 bills fans within a 50 mile radius having a collective heart attack

[00:29:36] and that is just gonna be too palpable in the stadium like I just don't think that this

[00:29:42] that this situation is lining up in a bills fashion uh so

[00:29:47] and this chief's defense is good it's by far the most talented they've had on this defense so

[00:29:54] I think that their ability to sort of like scheme up something um they played a lot obviously

[00:30:02] so that's another factor to have to consider but I think between the coaching factor

[00:30:07] and just my trust in the homes I'm gonna take um I'm gonna take the chiefs here and I'm definitely

[00:30:14] taking plus the points that's crazy listen rally the wagon Stan play Josh Allen's music

[00:30:28] all right this is the year that my boy gets it done um does it is it feel good home

[00:30:36] is it sick me to say that that just made me feel so much more confident in my pick

[00:30:43] just how you did oh your uh this the cockiness that came through with that I was like I'll

[00:30:49] let the chiefs are definitely gonna win don't problem the uh mark that mark that clip Dan

[00:30:58] so that we can play that incessantly next week uh don't forget that Ryan

[00:31:05] is betting on a team because they looked good against a totally inept team

[00:31:17] they are that team was absolute butt cheeks just straight butt cheeks and you know who else

[00:31:25] was butt cheeks the whole season the chiefs all right they are absolute butt cheeks Ryan you are

[00:31:36] betting on what are you gonna say anything other than butt cheeks 35 years old butt cheeks

[00:31:44] you've got too many two year olds you got stone hands butt cheeks you've got uh

[00:31:54] a client Edwards Haleir daddy poopy in my diaper uh let me tell you are you still here in that

[00:32:04] I know I find a way congratulations to the body man he's had he's had three days pooping his pants free

[00:32:14] wow wow three days we should start to clean and sober clean and start to start yeah um

[00:32:23] but do you feel more or less comfortable that the bills lost to the Broncos like does that make you

[00:32:31] more or less that's division rivalry I mean so don't get me wrong what you said

[00:32:39] Josh Allen throwing two absolutely unforgivably stupid picks is totally on the table

[00:32:46] right and that is a way that that game can play out I just don't think that this chiefs team can

[00:32:53] score uh on the road and that they are talented enough and while you talked about this uh

[00:33:02] uh chiefs team looking better on offense and being effective on defense they're not very good

[00:33:11] against the run and that's the reason why a lot of people had them including our podcast uh to cover

[00:33:20] that they thought they wouldn't be able to cover now the bills are running way more they've got

[00:33:24] Josh Allen the bills are now built in a traditional way to give the chiefs trouble because it's

[00:33:32] hey we're going to run a lot we have a quarterback who can make a few spectacular plays who can

[00:33:37] extend some plays and a defense that will bend but not break keep everything in front of them

[00:33:45] we've got veteran safety veterans back there and I just think that this chiefs team like you even

[00:33:53] look at it with the amount of field goals so they just didn't cover Rishi race the first time

[00:34:00] and then every other time in the red zone they couldn't score you're you're so many field goals

[00:34:06] you're talking about uh where's these Kelsey touchdowns well you're talking like you're like

[00:34:13] automatic you're talking like the bills just beat the 72 dolphins in the fucking wild card round

[00:34:21] they beat Mason Rudolph at home in a snowstorm like what are we talking about and they gave up

[00:34:28] 17 points not convincingly they they were up 21 nothing at halftime and then score 10 points

[00:34:36] into second half including including 217 because these idiots got well they did yeah so another

[00:34:44] another reason another reason to just have zero faith with this team I I can't believe that you're

[00:34:52] this isn't like a classic this is your classic betting uh advice 101 2 you do not bet against the

[00:35:01] giant until they've been slayed you're betting against saven you're betting against bellicic

[00:35:07] and you're betting against my hopes like what do you do like you're really taking Josh

[00:35:12] Allen to beat Patrick my hopes are you crazy like there's no way that that is happening so I just

[00:35:20] I you're talking be it to a smash spot here this isn't this is a classic ride the Kyle rivalry hey

[00:35:26] hey man don't don't worry about it all all take care of the betting on this one uh you know let me

[00:35:33] know what the balance of bode is college fund is and all I'll find the best line for us I'll just

[00:35:40] fade you it's fine now I'm telling you the giant has been slaying and also when you said don't

[00:35:48] bet against the giants until they've been slayed you sounded like every NBA writer who told you that

[00:35:54] the nuggets weren't going to win the championship last year well traditionally the lakers of 117 titles

[00:36:01] no that's not that's not even close to the lakers have a one the title in 10 years but

[00:36:08] let's do a two I'm not I'm doing with lakers fans I recognize and you recognize also that I would

[00:36:16] never let that happen uh I just think that listen so I think the downs it's gonna be higher than

[00:36:26] the downside of your bet my homes traditionally is an underdog or favor to render three well the good

[00:36:32] music is you can change it no matter what at what happens you can just change it to know where is

[00:36:38] I could change it if I'm not gonna change it unless well I'll just honed I might I don't know we'll

[00:36:45] see what happens I might change things as long as you post it to the twitter with your explanation

[00:36:52] oh that's it oh I didn't see your apology I'll look forward to that

[00:37:00] now you have to apologize because it's strategic at this point my fearfully for the love of the game

[00:37:06] the love of the listeners yours was a strategic it's like when you get first win and beat rest

[00:37:15] uh just happened to be a hurt um but no so to be clear I think mine is a higher risk play

[00:37:25] I just think it's right and there is absolutely worlds in which Josh Allen does bad things

[00:37:33] in this game and my feelings are hurt but I can't shake what I've seen from the chiefs all

[00:37:40] this time and these wide receivers and I think that they're going to I don't I don't know if we're

[00:37:49] gonna be able to clip this but the smile on my face is just so big because if I screw this up

[00:37:57] and like and the bills just blow out the chiefs I'm gonna be able to come on this podcast next

[00:38:03] week and be like you know who I thought was gonna be great Patrick Behomes and nobody's gonna

[00:38:10] look at me like I'm insane nobody's gonna say like oh well that's the stupidest I'm not

[00:38:15] gonna be on cultist takes like I've not I'm not gonna appear on any of that but if the opposite happens

[00:38:23] Kyle is gonna look so dumb which is just what you have to be of puring

[00:38:30] making these picks up like at a certain point you just have to you have to accept that you're wrong

[00:38:37] not a take us right and I'm here with Josh standing against NFL corruption will there be some bad

[00:38:47] whistles against the bills as always oh your you know what you're pre-circle the wagons all right

[00:38:55] Ed can they stop the Josh Allen freight train when it's coming down and little little

[00:39:04] sneeze is there quaking in his boots no Josh Allen will thunderously bring his hand down from

[00:39:12] the sky and put his head through the turf on his way to the touchdown let's go Bales I also think

[00:39:22] it's gonna be kind of an ugly game by the way I don't think it's gonna be like super fun

[00:39:28] no that's interesting um these are played a lot over the years and both of their offences

[00:39:37] suck more than in previous years yeah I wonder if the um

[00:39:46] if it's just like a classic prop market because I was just about to talk about the player prop so

[00:39:51] it's interesting that she said that I feel like we've given out a couple little doozy's on all

[00:39:55] these games so we might as well touch on it here the Isaiah Piceco stuff has been just a gold mine

[00:40:01] in the playoffs and in this stretch uh in terms of like any time any dub touchdown

[00:40:09] because Kelsey hasn't been the red zone threat that he typically has been so they've been going to

[00:40:14] Piceco a lot do you have oh excuse me do you have any leans there or do you think uh

[00:40:27] it's just a stay away because you think it's gonna be a low score game

[00:40:31] it's gonna be really low scoring so I'm gonna stay away from TD markets um this Bills team it's like

[00:40:37] they threw to each of their tight ends they Josh Allen got in like I think they just have a lot of

[00:40:44] weapons and then I think that there might be three touchdowns combined in this game like I

[00:40:52] genuinely think it might be 1710 at the end of this game um because I don't think without the aid

[00:40:58] of turnovers or big plays these are going to move down the field on one another the Bills are

[00:41:07] would you look at James Cook with like would you look at digging of those running props

[00:41:13] I might look at over rushing attempts that'd be something I'd want to keep an eye on uh I think he

[00:41:19] looks good and I think that they are going to try to hold onto that ball and their offensive line

[00:41:25] has unbelievable continuity despite the hell that their defense has gone through with continuity

[00:41:32] the problem is is that both of these teams are like almost two analytically minded

[00:41:38] so like they throw a lot on first down and if that's not successful which it hasn't been

[00:41:44] a lot then like that second down rush often it doesn't get that many yards and then you can't run

[00:41:51] on third down so those rushing attempts like all the all the props sort of get screwed up with these

[00:41:57] weren't analytical approaches so it's hard to find value but I'm sure we'll find some we'll

[00:42:03] I'll text it to Kyle and he'll tweet it out that sounds lovely I love making money with the people

[00:42:10] by the way did want to shout ourselves out we had a nice little what was that Ryan plus 135

[00:42:20] for the flacco pick and over two tackles for Miles Garrett beautiful little number we

[00:42:28] and yeah yeah it was it was wonderful for the listeners of the podcast

[00:42:36] and if you were really listening to the podcast you know that draft Kings didn't allow me to

[00:42:42] parlay a sack which wouldn't have hit but the over one half tackles did so took money from

[00:42:50] yourselves dummies yeah good job by draft Kings we didn't call you dummies we'd love to for you

[00:42:56] dispense with the podcast but I think you're mostly smart but I hope I keep winning money from your site

[00:43:05] I couldn't have said it better myself all right we're gonna be back next week we'll be

[00:43:10] bringing down nuggets anything else that happens will preview conference championship weekend

[00:43:17] I can't wait to have all my picks right that's gonna be great can I can I drop a bomb on you so

[00:43:23] this will be a true test of who's listening to the podcast because this is a little thing that I

[00:43:30] thought of I've started taking notes in a little no pad I've got here next to my desk of things

[00:43:35] that I just want to talk about on the podcast that I think of during the day while I'm working and

[00:43:40] so I just started chatting jotting them down my first one of 2024 is should the nuggets consider

[00:43:48] trading Christian Brown oh so something to get in there ponder all right we'll get in there

[00:43:59] we'll talk to you next week good luck out there go aves go nuggets and nuggets hey nice win lady buffalo

[00:44:09] hanging down those nerds at Stanford sure let's go Colorado sports blues for brothers

[00:44:19] also fins up one last time for all for all of our loyal listeners out there I didn't I didn't just not

[00:44:28] recognize that Kyle was giving me some terrible uh some when he was talking about buttholes

[00:44:36] uh we all love the dolphins here we all love you Mike and you'll forever live in our hearts

[00:44:46] oh my rated well we'll see how you feel about that a couple of years

[00:44:56] bye bye talk to you next week blues for brothers is a crab shell media podcast

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